Our Prediction
Final Result
Full-Time Score: 0-1
Prediction Outcome: Successful
Detailed Analysis
Another Derby della Madonnina, but the context matters: Inter come in top of Serie A on 24 points, with one of the best defensive records in the league and a very controlled style under Inzaghi. (Reuters+1)
Recent analysis points out how Inter are “solid at the back, smart in midfield, aggressive in offence” – but not reckless. They’re happy to manage games once ahead, and their back line plus Sommer in goal have been reliable. Milan are chasing, still dangerous in transition but less consistent in possession games.
Prediction models give the draw around a 40% probability, highlighting how tight this is expected to be. (Forebet)
In big derbies, neither side wants to open up too early, and we often see cautious first halves before the game loosens. With so much at stake at the top of the table, a tactical, slightly nervy contest is more likely than a basketball scoreline.
Instead of guessing the winner, taking Under 3.5 covers 1–0, 1–1, 2–0 type scenarios that fit both teams’ recent trends.
