Our Prediction
Final Result
Full-Time Score: 2-1
Prediction Outcome: Successful
Detailed Analysis
CSKA Sofia welcome Cherno More Varna in a critical Bulgaria Cup quarterfinal fixture set for April 22, 2025. The match, hosted at the Stadion Balgarska Armia, kicks off at 16:00 UTC and is expected to be one of the highlight domestic cup clashes this week.
CSKA Sofia approach this fixture in solid form. They’ve established themselves as a defensive fortress at home, while maintaining a consistent scoring presence in all competitions. Historically, they’ve dominated this matchup, winning most of their recent home ties against Cherno More. A structured defensive shape, combined with disciplined pressing, has made CSKA a tough opponent on home turf.
Cherno More Varna, while always competitive in the Bulgarian top flight, have shown cracks in high-pressure away fixtures. Their goal output has been modest, and against a side like CSKA, that could prove costly. They’ll likely set up conservatively, but whether they can hold off a dominant home side for 90 minutes is doubtful.
From a betting standpoint, the most confident pick here is CSKA Sofia to Win. The odds at 1.62 present good value, especially given the 63% win probability and the added benefit of CSKA’s home advantage and cup pedigree. The bookmakers are favoring the hosts — and for good reason.
Moreover, a correct score prediction of 2-0 adds further confidence to the idea of a comfortable home win. The combined market of “CSKA to Win & Under 2.5 Goals” or “CSKA & BTTS: No” could be explored for punters seeking higher odds with still solid probability.
In summary, this cup tie tilts clearly in favor of CSKA Sofia. Expect them to control the match tempo and apply sustained pressure, with the visitors struggling to break through. A win for the home side looks very likely, and is our strongest play for this fixture.
